Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +23.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Lapierre 45.5% (+23.3%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 61.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Nelson
Lapierre
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
26.1% (23)
+23.8%
On even strength, Nelson has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Lapierre is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lapierre
Home
49.8% (458)
21.4% (14)
Away
49.0% (506)
33.3% (9)
By Period
Nelson
Lapierre
P1
50.1%
30.8%
P2
45.4%
14.3%
P3
52.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
26.1%