Brock Nelson vs Hendrix Lapierre

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Brock Nelson holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 48.3% vs Lapierre 39.8% (+10.0%)
H2H factor Nelson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Nelson 70.1%
Defensive zone Nelson 81.1%
Neutral zone Nelson 83.7%
Result Brock Nelson favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Nelson Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 4 (10 meetings)
6
4
Nelson Lapierre
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Lapierre

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
2
Nelson Lapierre
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson Lapierre
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson Lapierre
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
38.7% (644)
+9.2%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
23.1% (13)
+31.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
0.0% (1)
+43.8%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +43.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Lapierre shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. Lapierre is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lapierre
Home
50.0% (5,845)
39.1% (366)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
37.3% (292)
By Period
Nelson
Lapierre
P1
48.7%
46.8%
P2
48.5%
38.1%
P3
47.7%
28.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
34.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%
54.0%
48.3%
Lapierre
40.0%
39.5%
38.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 22, 2026 1 16:37 Offensive Hendrix Lapierre
Dec 20, 2023 3 12:02 Neutral Brock Nelson
Dec 20, 2023 3 09:39 Defensive Hendrix Lapierre
Dec 20, 2023 3 01:42 Offensive Brock Nelson
Dec 20, 2023 2 06:14 Defensive Brock Nelson
Dec 20, 2023 2 06:01 Neutral Hendrix Lapierre
Dec 20, 2023 1 06:01 Defensive Brock Nelson
Nov 2, 2023 3 02:51 Offensive Brock Nelson
Nov 2, 2023 3 02:44 Offensive Brock Nelson
Nov 2, 2023 1 12:45 Offensive Hendrix Lapierre