Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Lapierre 44.8% (+12.5%)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 52.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 62.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Nelson
Lapierre
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
39.8% (98)
+11.5%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
33.3% (3)
+25.4%
On power play, Nelson has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Lapierre is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Nelson
Lapierre
Home
52.5% (590)
36.1% (61)
Away
51.7% (619)
45.0% (40)
By Period
Nelson
Lapierre
P1
50.5%
36.4%
P2
54.4%
40.0%
P3
51.4%
42.1%
Final 5 min
57.3%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
39.6%