Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Roslovic 44.2% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 55.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 69.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 68.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Nelson
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Nelson
Roslovic
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
4
Nelson
Roslovic
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
1
Nelson
Roslovic
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
2
3
Nelson
Roslovic
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
42.9% (739)
+7.0%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
54.8% (84)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
28.1% (32)
+0.5%
On even strength, Nelson has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Roslovic is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Nelson
Roslovic
Home
49.8% (458)
41.6% (442)
Away
49.0% (506)
45.5% (413)
By Period
Nelson
Roslovic
P1
50.1%
44.9%
P2
45.4%
43.8%
P3
52.7%
41.8%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:00 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |