Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Roslovic 51.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 60.0%
Defensive zone
Nelson 66.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.9%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Nelson
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Nelson
Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
0
2
Nelson
Roslovic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Roslovic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
52.5% (204)
-1.8%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
52.9% (17)
+5.7%
On power play, Nelson has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Nelson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Nelson shoots left. Roslovic is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Nelson
Roslovic
Home
52.3% (621)
49.6% (119)
Away
48.9% (618)
55.9% (102)
By Period
Nelson
Roslovic
P1
48.4%
53.2%
P2
53.5%
53.2%
P3
50.3%
51.9%
OT
41.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:22 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |