Scouting Report
Jack Roslovic holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Roslovic 53.2% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 54.6%
Defensive zone
Nelson 52.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 58.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Nelson
Roslovic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
55.2% (299)
-3.9%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
49.1% (55)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
0.0% (1)
+51.9%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Nelson shoots left. Roslovic is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (261).
Home / Away
Nelson
Roslovic
Home
52.5% (590)
54.0% (200)
Away
51.7% (619)
54.2% (155)
By Period
Nelson
Roslovic
P1
50.5%
57.0%
P2
54.4%
54.3%
P3
51.4%
50.9%
Final 5 min
57.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
54.1%