Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roslovic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Roslovic 46.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 54.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 58.6%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 53.8%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Nelson
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
0
1
Nelson
Roslovic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
44.3% (106)
+1.8%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
46.2% (13)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
14.3% (7)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Roslovic is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Nelson
Roslovic
Home
48.7% (419)
36.9% (65)
Away
41.3% (368)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Nelson
Roslovic
P1
44.6%
32.1%
P2
47.3%
50.0%
P3
43.0%
46.2%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |