Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.6% vs Benn 54.7% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 50.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 72.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Nelson
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nelson
Benn
Last 5: Nelson 1-4 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
2
Nelson
Benn
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Benn
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Nelson
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (902)
54.5% (299)
-3.8%
Power Play
59.8% (169)
59.2% (103)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (116)
57.1% (35)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Nelson shoots left. Benn is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Nelson
Benn
Home
53.6% (603)
57.8% (223)
Away
49.9% (585)
53.7% (214)
By Period
Nelson
Benn
P1
55.4%
52.3%
P2
47.2%
56.6%
P3
52.6%
57.2%
OT
51.6%
70.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
62.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
51.8%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |