Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Benn 59.1% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 53.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 50.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.7%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Nelson
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Nelson
Benn
Last 7: Nelson 3-4 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Benn
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
3
Nelson
Benn
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
61.8% (584)
-14.9%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
56.7% (224)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
56.1% (57)
-31.1%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Nelson
Benn
Home
48.9% (521)
64.4% (433)
Away
45.5% (516)
55.8% (432)
By Period
Nelson
Benn
P1
45.9%
61.8%
P2
48.0%
59.6%
P3
48.0%
59.2%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.3%
62.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | OT | 01:42 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 10:51 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |