Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Benn 54.7% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 51.8%
Defensive zone
Benn 52.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 58.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Nelson
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nelson
Benn
Last 5: Nelson 2-3 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Benn
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Nelson
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
55.3% (709)
-5.4%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
58.3% (127)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
47.3% (55)
-18.7%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Nelson
Benn
Home
49.8% (458)
56.2% (443)
Away
49.0% (506)
54.2% (448)
By Period
Nelson
Benn
P1
50.1%
55.4%
P2
45.4%
54.1%
P3
52.7%
55.6%
OT
33.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
47.1%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |