Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs McCann 46.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 71.1%
Defensive zone
McCann 66.4%
Neutral zone
McCann 70.5%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Nelson
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nelson
McCann
Last 5: Nelson 1-4 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
2
Nelson
McCann
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
2
Nelson
McCann
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
46.0% (428)
+3.9%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
39.3% (56)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
62.5% (8)
-33.9%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. McCann is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Nelson
McCann
Home
49.8% (458)
45.1% (244)
Away
49.0% (506)
46.0% (248)
By Period
Nelson
McCann
P1
50.1%
42.5%
P2
45.4%
45.9%
P3
52.7%
47.8%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Jared McCann |