Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs McCann 48.4% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 50.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 51.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Nelson
McCann
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
48.8% (260)
-2.7%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
37.0% (27)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
50.0% (20)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. McCann is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Nelson
McCann
Home
48.7% (419)
51.0% (143)
Away
41.3% (368)
45.1% (164)
By Period
Nelson
McCann
P1
44.6%
53.6%
P2
47.3%
52.0%
P3
43.0%
37.6%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.9%