Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs McCann 46.2% (+7.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 51.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 54.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Nelson
McCann
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
48.4% (188)
+2.9%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
33.3% (15)
+25.4%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
31.7% (41)
+20.2%
On power play, Nelson has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. McCann is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Nelson
McCann
Home
52.5% (590)
52.8% (125)
Away
51.7% (619)
36.1% (119)
By Period
Nelson
McCann
P1
50.5%
37.7%
P2
54.4%
50.5%
P3
51.4%
45.2%
OT
47.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
44.7%