Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs McCann 43.0% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 25-14 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 87.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 94.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 90.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Nelson
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
14
(39 meetings)
25
14
Nelson
McCann
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
8
5
Nelson
McCann
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
12
5
Nelson
McCann
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
5
4
Nelson
McCann
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
43.1% (3,178)
+4.8%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
40.0% (260)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
42.2% (173)
+1.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Nelson shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
Home / Away
Nelson
McCann
Home
50.0% (5,845)
43.1% (1,758)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
42.5% (1,855)
By Period
Nelson
McCann
P1
48.7%
44.4%
P2
48.5%
41.7%
P3
47.7%
42.7%
OT
45.6%
36.4%
Final 5 min
47.8%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 21, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Jared McCann |