Brock Nelson vs Jared McCann

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.0%).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nelson 50.6% vs McCann 50.0% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone McCann 54.0%
Defensive zone Nelson 77.8%
Neutral zone Nelson 57.7%
Result Brock Nelson favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Nelson McCann
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Nelson
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
44.4% (18)
+6.3%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
100.0% (2)
-41.4%
On power play, McCann has a +41.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McCann shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. McCann is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
Nelson
McCann
Home
52.3% (621)
53.8% (13)
Away
48.9% (618)
42.9% (7)
By Period
Nelson
McCann
P1
48.4%
50.0%
P2
53.5%
33.3%
P3
50.3%
75.0%
OT
41.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%
54.0%
50.6%
McCann
46.0%
45.0%
50.0%