Brock Nelson vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.6% vs Kotkaniemi 44.6% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 55.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 83.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 67.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Nelson
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nelson
Kotkaniemi
Last 5: Nelson 3-2 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Nelson
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (902)
42.6% (270)
+8.1%
Power Play
59.8% (169)
47.4% (19)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (116)
33.3% (3)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Nelson shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kotkaniemi
Home
53.6% (603)
42.8% (166)
Away
49.9% (585)
42.9% (126)
By Period
Nelson
Kotkaniemi
P1
55.4%
40.2%
P2
47.2%
45.5%
P3
52.6%
42.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
36.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
51.8%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |