Brock Nelson vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 50.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 51.9%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 50.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Nelson
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Nelson
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
3
Nelson
Kotkaniemi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
1
Nelson
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
Nelson
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
51.8% (637)
-4.9%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
48.2% (56)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
42.9% (7)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Nelson
Kotkaniemi
Home
48.9% (521)
53.1% (339)
Away
45.5% (516)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Nelson
Kotkaniemi
P1
45.9%
48.3%
P2
48.0%
55.0%
P3
48.0%
50.4%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:05 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:35 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |