Brock Nelson vs Jonathan Marchessault
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.6% vs Marchessault 45.8% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 60.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 93.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 74.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Nelson
Marchessault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nelson
Marchessault
Last 6: Nelson 4-2 Marchessault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
0
2
Nelson
Marchessault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Marchessault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Marchessault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (902)
42.7% (117)
+8.0%
Power Play
59.8% (169)
47.1% (17)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (116)
0.0% (2)
+48.3%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Nelson shoots left. Marchessault is 38.3% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Nelson
Marchessault
Home
53.6% (603)
41.9% (74)
Away
49.9% (585)
43.5% (62)
By Period
Nelson
Marchessault
P1
55.4%
40.7%
P2
47.2%
42.9%
P3
52.6%
47.2%
OT
51.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
30.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
51.8%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2019 | OT | 01:55 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:44 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |