Brock Nelson vs Jonathan Marchessault
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Marchessault 45.5% (+9.8%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 56.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 69.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Nelson
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
38.9% (54)
+8.0%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
0.0% (2)
+57.4%
On power play, Nelson has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nelson shoots left. Marchessault is 31.6% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Nelson
Marchessault
Home
48.9% (521)
34.3% (35)
Away
45.5% (516)
42.9% (21)
By Period
Nelson
Marchessault
P1
45.9%
36.4%
P2
48.0%
33.3%
P3
48.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
77.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
37.5%