Brock Nelson vs Jonathan Marchessault
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +20.2% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Marchessault 45.2% (+20.2%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 53.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 71.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Nelson
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
20.0% (20)
+26.1%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
50.0% (4)
-15.5%
On even strength, Nelson has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Marchessault is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Nelson
Marchessault
Home
48.7% (419)
7.1% (14)
Away
41.3% (368)
50.0% (10)
By Period
Nelson
Marchessault
P1
44.6%
20.0%
P2
47.3%
40.0%
P3
43.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
25.0%