Brock Nelson vs Jonathan Marchessault
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +26.7% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Marchessault shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Marchessault 40.1% (+26.7%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 51.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 67.3%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Nelson
Marchessault
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Marchessault
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
25.4% (63)
+25.9%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
25.0% (4)
+33.7%
On power play, Nelson has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchessault shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Nelson shoots left. Marchessault is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Nelson
Marchessault
Home
52.5% (590)
30.0% (30)
Away
51.7% (619)
21.6% (37)
By Period
Nelson
Marchessault
P1
50.5%
15.6%
P2
54.4%
34.6%
P3
51.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
25.4%