Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Toews 61.9% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 61.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Nelson
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Nelson
Toews
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
2
Nelson
Toews
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
4
Nelson
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
61.1% (650)
-14.2%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
71.9% (192)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
59.6% (99)
-34.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Nelson
Toews
Home
48.9% (521)
64.8% (560)
Away
45.5% (516)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Nelson
Toews
P1
45.9%
62.3%
P2
48.0%
63.9%
P3
48.0%
62.8%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 08:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:15 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |