Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Staal 56.8% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 60.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Nelson
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Nelson
Staal
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Nelson
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
6
Nelson
Staal
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
5
3
Nelson
Staal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
58.9% (1,041)
-9.0%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
53.4% (73)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
49.1% (171)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Nelson
Staal
Home
49.8% (458)
59.0% (578)
Away
49.0% (506)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Nelson
Staal
P1
50.1%
57.1%
P2
45.4%
60.9%
P3
52.7%
55.8%
OT
33.3%
20.8%
Final 5 min
47.1%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:57 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |