Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.6% vs Eller 56.2% (-8.5%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 62.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 51.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Nelson
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (694)
57.2% (306)
-7.2%
Power Play
56.3% (112)
77.8% (9)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (143)
60.0% (35)
-18.0%
On power play, Eller has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Nelson is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Nelson shoots left. Eller is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eller
Home
50.4% (472)
52.7% (150)
Away
48.6% (477)
62.0% (200)
By Period
Nelson
Eller
P1
47.2%
54.1%
P2
53.4%
59.6%
P3
47.8%
59.8%
Final 5 min
47.6%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.5%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
58.0%