Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Eller 55.7% (-6.3%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 63.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 53.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Nelson
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
56.5% (434)
-5.8%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
77.8% (9)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
56.5% (46)
-13.1%
On power play, Eller has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eller
Home
52.3% (621)
53.1% (211)
Away
48.9% (618)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Nelson
Eller
P1
48.4%
55.4%
P2
53.5%
58.1%
P3
50.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%