Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Eller 53.3% (-6.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 74.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 77.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Nelson
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
53.8% (865)
-6.9%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
57.1% (21)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
52.6% (137)
-27.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Nelson shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eller
Home
48.9% (521)
56.4% (486)
Away
45.5% (516)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Nelson
Eller
P1
45.9%
55.1%
P2
48.0%
55.3%
P3
48.0%
51.7%
OT
33.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
45.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%