Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Eller 50.3% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 54.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Nelson
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Nelson
Eller
Last 10: Nelson 3-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Nelson
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
5
3
Nelson
Eller
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Nelson
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (586)
49.4% (518)
-0.9%
Power Play
51.9% (81)
57.6% (33)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
52.8% (108)
+4.7%
On power play, Eller has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Nelson is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Nelson shoots left. Eller is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eller
Home
55.0% (362)
49.0% (304)
Away
43.5% (345)
51.5% (355)
By Period
Nelson
Eller
P1
49.3%
55.5%
P2
53.6%
44.0%
P3
46.0%
53.2%
OT
33.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 10:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |