Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Couture 49.0% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 58.8%
Defensive zone
Couture 54.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Nelson
Couture
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
44.9% (78)
+1.2%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
57.1% (7)
-22.6%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
63.6% (11)
-33.2%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Couture is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Nelson
Couture
Home
48.7% (419)
45.2% (62)
Away
41.3% (368)
52.9% (34)
By Period
Nelson
Couture
P1
44.6%
55.2%
P2
47.3%
44.4%
P3
43.0%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
39.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%