Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Glendening 51.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 64.9%
Defensive zone
Glendening 63.2%
Neutral zone
Glendening 51.3%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Nelson
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nelson
Glendening
Last 6: Nelson 4-2 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Glendening
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
2
Nelson
Glendening
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
53.5% (404)
-2.8%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
100.0% (4)
-41.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
46.8% (141)
-3.4%
On power play, Glendening has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Nelson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Nelson shoots left. Glendening is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Nelson
Glendening
Home
52.3% (621)
46.9% (241)
Away
48.9% (618)
56.2% (308)
By Period
Nelson
Glendening
P1
48.4%
50.6%
P2
53.5%
51.8%
P3
50.3%
52.9%
OT
41.2%
83.3%
Final 5 min
50.8%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |