Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Glendening 57.6% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 72.5%
Defensive zone
Glendening 90.1%
Neutral zone
Glendening 67.8%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Nelson
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nelson
Glendening
Last 6: Nelson 4-2 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Glendening
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
2
Nelson
Glendening
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
61.5% (535)
-11.6%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
60.0% (10)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
50.3% (179)
-21.7%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Nelson is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Nelson shoots left. Glendening is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (558).
Home / Away
Nelson
Glendening
Home
49.8% (458)
59.7% (365)
Away
49.0% (506)
57.7% (359)
By Period
Nelson
Glendening
P1
50.1%
65.3%
P2
45.4%
52.4%
P3
52.7%
58.7%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |