Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Glendening 56.3% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 78.3%
Defensive zone
Glendening 61.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 58.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Nelson
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Nelson
Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Glendening
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
2
Nelson
Glendening
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
58.6% (703)
-7.3%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
57.9% (19)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
49.7% (159)
+2.2%
On even strength, Glendening has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Nelson shoots left. Glendening is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Nelson
Glendening
Home
52.5% (590)
54.3% (468)
Away
51.7% (619)
60.0% (413)
By Period
Nelson
Glendening
P1
50.5%
58.2%
P2
54.4%
57.6%
P3
51.4%
56.0%
OT
47.4%
16.7%
Final 5 min
57.3%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |