Brock Nelson vs Luke Glendening
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 22 meetings). Nelson wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.3% vs Glendening 55.6% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 30-24 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 71.5%
Defensive zone
Glendening 65.7%
Neutral zone
Glendening 69.1%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Nelson
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
24
(54 meetings)
30
24
Nelson
Glendening
Last 10: Nelson 5-5 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
19
3
Nelson
Glendening
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
6
14
Nelson
Glendening
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
5
7
Nelson
Glendening
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (9,695)
57.9% (7,770)
-10.0%
Power Play
54.5% (1,132)
56.4% (195)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (783)
48.6% (2,498)
-4.8%
On even strength, Glendening has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Nelson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,075).
Nelson shoots left. Glendening is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,244).
Home / Away
Nelson
Glendening
Home
50.0% (5,845)
55.4% (5,255)
Away
46.5% (5,766)
55.9% (5,208)
By Period
Nelson
Glendening
P1
48.7%
56.1%
P2
48.5%
54.5%
P3
47.7%
56.5%
OT
45.6%
48.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 06:26 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |