Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Glendening 57.8% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 54.7%
Defensive zone
Glendening 94.0%
Neutral zone
Glendening 68.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Nelson
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Nelson
Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
0
Nelson
Glendening
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
60.5% (428)
-13.6%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
66.7% (6)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
55.2% (174)
-30.2%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nelson shoots left. Glendening is 59.2% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Home / Away
Nelson
Glendening
Home
48.9% (521)
59.0% (293)
Away
45.5% (516)
59.0% (315)
By Period
Nelson
Glendening
P1
45.9%
61.5%
P2
48.0%
59.1%
P3
48.0%
56.3%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.3%
66.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 06:26 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 02:45 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |