Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nelson wins 40.7% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.9% vs Glendening 51.7% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 79.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 56.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 66.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Nelson
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nelson
Glendening
Last 5: Nelson 1-4 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
2
Nelson
Glendening
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
2
Nelson
Glendening
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (715)
56.1% (675)
-12.2%
Power Play
61.5% (26)
61.1% (18)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
40.5% (269)
+0.9%
On even strength, Glendening has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Nelson is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Nelson shoots left. Glendening is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Nelson
Glendening
Home
42.9% (406)
51.6% (496)
Away
45.8% (393)
52.1% (466)
By Period
Nelson
Glendening
P1
44.1%
53.0%
P2
47.2%
50.8%
P3
42.2%
51.8%
OT
30.8%
52.9%
Final 5 min
39.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
44.3%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 13:15 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 13:08 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 08:33 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |