Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nelson wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.5% vs Glendening 57.0% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 67.3%
Defensive zone
Glendening 79.6%
Neutral zone
Glendening 71.2%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Nelson
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nelson
Glendening
Last 5: Nelson 3-2 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Glendening
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
2
Nelson
Glendening
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Glendening
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (681)
59.3% (508)
-11.3%
Power Play
54.0% (87)
52.9% (17)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (37)
54.5% (154)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Glendening has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Nelson is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Nelson shoots left. Glendening is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Home / Away
Nelson
Glendening
Home
51.1% (399)
57.4% (296)
Away
45.6% (406)
58.5% (383)
By Period
Nelson
Glendening
P1
51.8%
59.1%
P2
47.5%
52.7%
P3
46.5%
62.7%
OT
20.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 2 | 09:36 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |