Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.6% vs Johansson 49.6% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
Johansson 50.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 75.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 58.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Nelson
Johansson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (694)
50.0% (10)
+0.0%
Power Play
56.3% (112)
33.3% (3)
+23.0%
On power play, Nelson has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Nelson is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Nelson shoots left. Johansson is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Nelson
Johansson
Home
50.4% (472)
28.6% (7)
Away
48.6% (477)
66.7% (6)
By Period
Nelson
Johansson
P1
47.2%
83.3%
P2
53.4%
25.0%
P3
47.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
46.0%▬
46.0%
49.5%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
46.2%