Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Johansson 49.1% (+7.7%)
Offensive zone
Johansson 51.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 74.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Nelson
Johansson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
45.5% (11)
+5.2%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
33.3% (3)
+25.3%
On power play, Nelson has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Johansson is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Nelson
Johansson
Home
52.3% (621)
25.0% (8)
Away
48.9% (618)
66.7% (6)
By Period
Nelson
Johansson
P1
48.4%
83.3%
P2
53.5%
25.0%
P3
50.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
42.9%