Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +27.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Johansson 45.8% (+27.1%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 52.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 72.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Nelson
Johansson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
25.0% (16)
+26.3%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
33.3% (3)
+25.4%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
0.0% (1)
+51.9%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Johansson is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Nelson
Johansson
Home
52.5% (590)
21.4% (14)
Away
51.7% (619)
33.3% (6)
By Period
Nelson
Johansson
P1
50.5%
22.2%
P2
54.4%
40.0%
P3
51.4%
16.7%
Final 5 min
57.3%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
25.0%