Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Johansson 46.0% (+7.6%)
Offensive zone
Johansson 62.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 67.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Nelson
Johansson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
40.7% (54)
+9.2%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
43.2% (44)
+9.6%
On power play, Nelson has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Johansson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Nelson
Johansson
Home
49.8% (458)
44.2% (52)
Away
49.0% (506)
39.1% (46)
By Period
Nelson
Johansson
P1
50.1%
37.1%
P2
45.4%
34.6%
P3
52.7%
52.8%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.8%