Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +26.4% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Johansson 42.4% (+26.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansson 54.8%
Defensive zone
Johansson 56.2%
Neutral zone
Johansson 51.7%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Nelson
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nelson
Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
0
1
Nelson
Johansson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
21.7% (23)
+24.4%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
16.7% (6)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
0.0% (3)
+30.4%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Johansson is 26.3% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Nelson
Johansson
Home
48.7% (419)
25.0% (12)
Away
41.3% (368)
15.0% (20)
By Period
Nelson
Johansson
P1
44.6%
12.5%
P2
47.3%
23.1%
P3
43.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.4%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
18.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |