Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.4% vs Johansson 47.1% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Johansson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansson 62.0%
Defensive zone
Johansson 59.2%
Neutral zone
Johansson 61.4%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Nelson
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Nelson
Johansson
Last 10: Nelson 4-6 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
0
1
Nelson
Johansson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Johansson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansson
2
4
Nelson
Johansson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (347)
46.0% (272)
+3.6%
Power Play
20.8% (24)
100.0% (2)
-79.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
25.0% (4)
+27.9%
On power play, Johansson has a +79.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Nelson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Nelson shoots left. Johansson is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Nelson
Johansson
Home
52.9% (210)
47.7% (130)
Away
42.1% (178)
44.6% (148)
By Period
Nelson
Johansson
P1
43.9%
46.7%
P2
48.1%
50.0%
P3
53.1%
44.3%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.9%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 04:23 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 02:27 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |