Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Jankowski 48.7% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 75.5%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 69.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Nelson
Jankowski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
51.6% (126)
-1.7%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
50.0% (2)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (35)
39.2% (51)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Jankowski is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Nelson
Jankowski
Home
49.8% (458)
45.3% (64)
Away
49.0% (506)
49.6% (115)
By Period
Nelson
Jankowski
P1
50.1%
53.7%
P2
45.4%
45.8%
P3
52.7%
43.4%
Final 5 min
47.1%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%