Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Jankowski 50.2% (-5.1%)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 53.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 51.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Nelson
Jankowski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
49.3% (134)
-3.2%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
37.5% (8)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
61.9% (21)
-31.5%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Nelson
Jankowski
Home
48.7% (419)
54.2% (72)
Away
41.3% (368)
47.3% (91)
By Period
Nelson
Jankowski
P1
44.6%
54.2%
P2
47.3%
42.4%
P3
43.0%
55.4%
Final 5 min
39.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.3%