Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Jankowski 50.5% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 61.1%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 61.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Nelson
Jankowski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
51.3% (347)
+0.0%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
72.7% (11)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
44.0% (75)
+7.9%
On power play, Jankowski has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Nelson shoots left. Jankowski is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Nelson
Jankowski
Home
52.5% (590)
46.8% (188)
Away
51.7% (619)
53.5% (245)
By Period
Nelson
Jankowski
P1
50.5%
51.6%
P2
54.4%
49.3%
P3
51.4%
50.9%
Final 5 min
57.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.6%