Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 49.4% vs Domi 47.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 52.4%
Defensive zone
Domi 51.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.8%
Result
Max Domi favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Nelson
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nelson
Domi
Last 5: Nelson 2-3 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
Nelson
Domi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (840)
41.3% (75)
+8.6%
Power Play
52.8% (89)
72.7% (11)
-19.9%
On power play, Domi has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Nelson is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Nelson shoots left. Domi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Home / Away
Nelson
Domi
Home
49.8% (458)
50.0% (32)
Away
49.0% (506)
42.6% (54)
By Period
Nelson
Domi
P1
50.1%
37.0%
P2
45.4%
40.6%
P3
52.7%
59.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
49.4%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |