Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Domi 50.9% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Domi 50.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 57.9%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.9%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Nelson
Domi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
50.4% (254)
+0.3%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
59.3% (27)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Nelson shoots left. Domi is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Nelson
Domi
Home
52.3% (621)
50.0% (174)
Away
48.9% (618)
53.3% (107)
By Period
Nelson
Domi
P1
48.4%
45.7%
P2
53.5%
51.5%
P3
50.3%
57.3%
OT
41.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.2%