Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Domi 50.0% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 53.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 51.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.4%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Nelson
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nelson
Domi
Last 6: Nelson 3-3 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
Nelson
Domi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nelson
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
49.7% (394)
-3.6%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
51.7% (58)
-17.2%
On power play, Domi has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Domi is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Nelson
Domi
Home
48.7% (419)
53.2% (235)
Away
41.3% (368)
46.5% (217)
By Period
Nelson
Domi
P1
44.6%
54.4%
P2
47.3%
46.6%
P3
43.0%
49.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |