Scouting Report
Michael Amadio holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Amadio shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 47.5% vs Amadio 49.7% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 57.1%
Defensive zone
Nelson 51.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Nelson
Amadio
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Amadio
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (915)
48.4% (62)
-1.5%
Power Play
57.4% (94)
100.0% (1)
-42.6%
On power play, Amadio has a +42.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Amadio shoots right. Nelson is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Nelson shoots left. Amadio is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Home / Away
Nelson
Amadio
Home
48.9% (521)
64.3% (28)
Away
45.5% (516)
37.1% (35)
By Period
Nelson
Amadio
P1
45.9%
59.1%
P2
48.0%
44.4%
P3
48.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.2%