Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Amadio shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 51.9% vs Amadio 50.5% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 55.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 59.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 54.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Nelson
Amadio
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Amadio
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,002)
51.1% (92)
+0.2%
Power Play
58.7% (126)
100.0% (1)
-41.3%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (81)
33.3% (3)
+18.6%
On power play, Amadio has a +41.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Amadio shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Nelson shoots left. Amadio is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Nelson
Amadio
Home
52.5% (590)
57.4% (47)
Away
51.7% (619)
44.9% (49)
By Period
Nelson
Amadio
P1
50.5%
55.9%
P2
54.4%
55.3%
P3
51.4%
37.5%
Final 5 min
57.3%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.0%