Scouting Report
Michael Amadio holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Amadio shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Amadio 50.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 59.8%
Defensive zone
Amadio 55.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 51.4%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Nelson
Amadio
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Nelson
Amadio
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Amadio
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Amadio
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
51.6% (128)
-5.5%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
33.3% (3)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
66.7% (3)
-36.3%
On penalty kill, Amadio has a +36.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Amadio shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Nelson shoots left. Amadio is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Nelson
Amadio
Home
48.7% (419)
50.6% (85)
Away
41.3% (368)
53.1% (49)
By Period
Nelson
Amadio
P1
44.6%
62.2%
P2
47.3%
43.2%
P3
43.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
39.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |